Predictions

A forum where anything goes. Introduce yourselves to other members of the forums, discuss how your name evolves when written out in the Game of Life, or just tell us how you found it. This is the forum for "non-academic" content.
GUYTU6J
Posts: 2200
Joined: August 5th, 2016, 10:27 am
Location: 拆哪!I repeat, CHINA! (a.k.a. 种花家)
Contact:

Re: Predictions

Post by GUYTU6J » April 17th, 2022, 2:20 am

You may also make a prediction for eventual situation (in the limit of t→∞) and not care about time, which is more like an unproven conjecture.

As I am luck deficient to actually do still life syntheses, I will make a theoretical statement: for any n-cell still life where n is at least 9, there exists a glider synthesis at the cost of (n-5) gliders. Let's see how at the time of writing the reality deviates from that:
  1. All 9-cell still lives except xs9_178426 and xs9_31248go have a 4-glider synthesis each.
  2. All 10-cell still lives have a 5-glider synthesis each.
  3. All 11-cell still lives except xs11_321eg8o have a 6-glider synthesis each.
  4. All 12-cell still lives have a 7-glider synthesis each.
  5. All 13-cell still lives have an 8-glider synthesis each.
  6. All 14-cell still lives except xs14_dbgzw1qm have a 9-glider synthesis each.
  7. All 15-cell still lives except 18 in this post have a 10-glider synthesis each.
  8. All 16-cell still lives except 297 have an 11-glider synthesis each.
  9. All 17-cell still lives except 1106 have a 12-glider synthesis each.
    ...
See, the hypothesis is doing quite well. Therefore, in my opinion these can be reasonbale targets for synthesis makers.

As time goes by, the statistics can be incrementally changed by doing individual syntheses, or dramatically changed if people like AGreason keeps running transfer.py for optimization.

User avatar
pzq_alex
Posts: 792
Joined: May 1st, 2021, 9:00 pm
Location: tell me if you know

Re: Predictions

Post by pzq_alex » April 17th, 2022, 7:22 am

GUYTU6J wrote:
April 17th, 2022, 2:20 am
As I am luck deficient to actually do still life syntheses, I will make a theoretical statement: for any n-cell still life where n is at least 9, there exists a glider synthesis at the cost of (n-5) gliders.
you also need to say the SL must be synthesizable
\sum_{n=1}^\infty H_n/n^2 = \zeta(3)

How much of current CA technology can I redevelop "on a desert island"?

hotdogPi
Posts: 1586
Joined: August 12th, 2020, 8:22 pm

Re: Predictions

Post by hotdogPi » April 17th, 2022, 8:15 am

The list of single objects that can be synthesized with 4 gliders is pretty much complete. If we don't know of a 4-glider synthesis, it probably doesn't exist.
User:HotdogPi/My discoveries

Periods discovered: 5-16,⑱,⑳G,㉑G,㉒㉔㉕,㉗-㉛,㉜SG,㉞㉟㊱㊳㊵㊷㊹㊺㊽㊿,54G,55G,56,57G,60,62-66,68,70,73,74S,75,76S,80,84,88,90,96
100,02S,06,08,10,12,14G,16,17G,20,26G,28,38,47,48,54,56,72,74,80,92,96S
217,486,576

S: SKOP
G: gun

HotWheels9232
Posts: 559
Joined: May 25th, 2022, 9:10 pm
Location: Help! I got dragged away into the middle of nowhere by a LWSS which suddenly launched from a soup

Re: Predictions

Post by HotWheels9232 » May 29th, 2022, 5:42 pm

PkmnQ wrote:
June 15th, 2020, 11:36 pm
By 2021, we will have an elementary c/8 orthogonal spaceship.
Nope
My rules:
B34q/S23-k(ObliquePufferLife) and
B2n3-n4c5c/S234cz5cPM me to get some help on making rules!

Code: Select all

x = 8, y = 5, rule = B3-k/S23
2o3b2o$obo2bobo$2bo2bo$bo$b2o!

HotWheels9232
Posts: 559
Joined: May 25th, 2022, 9:10 pm
Location: Help! I got dragged away into the middle of nowhere by a LWSS which suddenly launched from a soup

Re: Predictions

Post by HotWheels9232 » May 29th, 2022, 5:44 pm

By 2035, there will be a unsynthysizable spaceship and by 2050, Life will be proven Omniperiodic.
Edit 1:ljkiernan1 will discover a new period.
My rules:
B34q/S23-k(ObliquePufferLife) and
B2n3-n4c5c/S234cz5cPM me to get some help on making rules!

Code: Select all

x = 8, y = 5, rule = B3-k/S23
2o3b2o$obo2bobo$2bo2bo$bo$b2o!

dani
Posts: 1222
Joined: October 27th, 2017, 3:43 pm

Re: Predictions

Post by dani » November 14th, 2022, 2:30 am

at least one of the first oscillators of p19, p41 will be a honey farm hassler, and both will be discovered before 2024.

User avatar
Heav
Posts: 28
Joined: April 19th, 2021, 11:29 am
Location: Rapidly approaching from an unknown direction
Contact:

Re: Predictions

Post by Heav » November 22nd, 2022, 3:08 pm

this prediction will not come to pass by the end of 2022.
We know what you did.

User avatar
confocaloid
Posts: 2723
Joined: February 8th, 2022, 3:15 pm

Re: Predictions

Post by confocaloid » November 20th, 2023, 11:59 pm

.
Last edited by confocaloid on January 18th, 2024, 2:13 am, edited 1 time in total.

Haycat2009
Posts: 737
Joined: April 26th, 2023, 5:47 am
Location: Bahar Junction, Zumaland

Re: Predictions

Post by Haycat2009 » January 5th, 2024, 10:09 am

We will find a c/7k spaceship before a c/8o spaceship, and both will happen by 2035.

We find a c/9o spaceship by 2040

Runaway greenhouse effect will start by 2050, if you humans continue like this.

We find a c/8c spaceship by 2060

We find a 3c/10o spaceship by 2175 (If we survive until then)
~ Haycat Durnak, a hard-working editor
Also, support Conway and Friends story mode!
I mean no harm to those who have tested me. But do not take this for granted.

wildmyron
Posts: 1542
Joined: August 9th, 2013, 12:45 am
Location: Western Australia

Re: Predictions

Post by wildmyron » January 8th, 2024, 5:57 am

dani wrote:
November 14th, 2022, 2:30 am
at least one of the first oscillators of p19, p41 will be a honey farm hassler, and both will be discovered before 2024.
Wow! Both parts of this prediction turned out to be correct.
The 5S project (Smallest Spaceships Supporting Specific Speeds) is now maintained by AforAmpere. The latest collection is hosted on GitHub and contains well over 1,000,000 spaceships.

Semi-active here - recovering from a severe case of LWTDS.

Post Reply