gmc_nxtman wrote:Some predictions:
•The next new p15 oscillator will be Karel's p15.
•The next new linear-growth pattern will be either Puffer 2, or an ark.
•The next new spaceship will involve a non-standard component.
•The next oscillator with period > 30 will be a quadruple-block twin bees shuttle. ( I can't wait to see potential twin bees variants in the future)
•The next after that will be a single-block, single-bookends/cis-tables stabilization of a twin bees shuttle.
•Variants of the boring p24 will occur soon.
•The next p5 oscillator will be a fumarole variant.
1. Either pentadecathlon on beehive on dock, or cis-pentadecathlon on block on dock.
2. One of those, or maybe a paired switch-engine-like puffer that hasn't been found yet, which has no single-engine stabilization. (As an aside, I believe that Catagolue demonstrates that there are no single-switch-engine stabilizations not known yet that aren't universal-constructor-based.)
3. I doubt it. Probably a MWSS-on-HWSS.
4. I agree, unless there's something that somebody should have found with gsearch, but didn't, for some reason.
5. Likely, but maybe a figure-eight-on-pentadecathlon, too.
6. Only one variant likely.
7. More likely another Elkies' p5 variant, I'd say. Of the fumarole variants, probably the two-tob one seems likely to show up.
I also think that the next natural non-flotilla spaceship will either be symmetrical or the loafer.
I did some research on oscillator and spaceship frequency, using pentadecathlon.com and catagolue. While pentadecathlon.com is down at the moment, I remember calculating that of the dozen or so minimum-stator "natural-looking" oscillators and spaceships p3 and up and around 20 cells (basically, anything similar-looking to the loafer), slightly over half have been found naturally. I do remember that there's a p6 that looks likely to show up soon, and maybe a p3, too.